In order to keep the blogs concise and focused on the approach and results, information about the derivation of the underlying models is often excluded.
On this part of the site you will find all models that were used to create the analysis presented in the blog posts.
- xG – Model
Expected Goals Model to assess probability of a shot going in. Used also to understand the quality of a chance that was created. - xP – Model
Expected Pass Probability Model to assess the probability of a pass being successful. - Average – Risk
More a risk analysis than a model. Divides the pitch into 100 equally sized squares and assesses the risk of losing the ball in each area. - Added Value Model
Based on the xG and xP Model, attributes offensive contribution to each player involved in an attack that ended in a shot.
Frustball 